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Leak: ‘GPT-5 exhibits diminishing returns’, Sam Altman: ‘lol’
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The last few days have seen two narratives emerge. One, derived from yesterday’s OpenAI leak in TheInformation, that GPT-5/Orion is a disappointment, and less of a leap than GPT-3 to GPT-4. The second comes from a series of 4 clips (shown in this video) from Sam Altman, regarding the ‘clear path’ to AGI. Let’s go beyond the headlines (and through papers like Frontier Math) to get closer to the ground truth…
Plus Universal-2, Sora comments, Claude 3.5 Haiku SimpleBench update, and a great new AI video.
Assembly AI Speech to Text: https://www.assemblyai.com/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=influencer&utm_campaign=ai_explained
00:39 – Bear Case, TheInformation Leak
04:01 – Bull Case, Sam Altman
06:20 – FrontierMath
11:29 – o1 Paradigm
13:11 – Text to Video Greatness and Universal-2
TheInformation Leak: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-shifts-strategy-as-rate-of-gpt-ai-improvements-slows?rc=sy0ihq
Noam Brown Replies: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1855453104394637444
Sam Altman Y-Combinator Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXCBz_8hM9w&t=1556s
Altman Reply: https://x.com/sama/status/1855100359511097828
FrontierMath Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2411.04872
Frontier Math Blog Post: https://epochai.org/frontiermath
Tao: https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1854996368814936250
MMLU Are We Done (cites me!): https://arxiv.org/pdf/2406.04127
Universal-2 https://www.assemblyai.com/research/universal-2
Noam Brown ‘We don’t know’: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gr_eYXdHFis
Anthropic Founder Response: https://x.com/jackclarkSF/status/1855485569998217231
Sora (Runway Comment): https://x.com/c_valenzuelab/status/1855026417354129455
Sora New Vid: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_iETa2KDRuw
Darri3D Video: https://www.reddit.com/r/ChatGPT/comments/1gn0n3z/can_you/
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