Highlights: #200 – Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks

80k After Hours

Indhold leveret af Rob Wiblin and Keiran Harris and The 80000 Hours team. Alt podcastindhold inklusive episoder, grafik og podcastbeskrivelser uploades og leveres direkte af Rob Wiblin and Keiran Harris and The 80000 Hours team eller deres podcastplatformspartner. Hvis du mener, at nogen bruger dit ophavsretligt beskyttede værk uden din tilladelse, kan du følge processen beskrevet her https://da.player.fm/legal.

18d ago 22:54

MP3•Episode hjem

This is a selection of highlights from episode #200 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:

Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks

And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing podcast@80000hours.org.

Highlights:

Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)
Why we need forecasts about existential risks (00:00:26)
Headline estimates of existential and catastrophic risks (00:02:43)
What explains disagreements about AI risks? (00:06:18)
Learning more doesn't resolve disagreements about AI risks (00:08:59)
A lot of disagreement about AI risks is about when AI will pose risks (00:11:31)
Cruxes about AI risks (00:15:17)
Is forecasting actually useful in the real world? (00:18:24)

Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong

90 episoder

#Society #Podcasting Education #Self-Improvement #Documentaries #Rob Wiblin and Keiran Harris #000 Hours #Effective Altruism #80000 Hours #Impactful Careers #Existential Risk