Labour Is Headed for a Landslide Victory

Star Spangled Gamblers

Part I: Professor Anthony Pickles (@polgambling), an expert on political gambling, does a deep dive into Keir Starmer and precisely how many seats Labour and the Conservatives are likely to win in UK's upcoming elections. Part II: Vegas bookmaker Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) explains how professional bettors are driving irrational odds in the VP markets.

Part III: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discusses why opponents of election betting have the upper hand in Washington.

Timestamps

0:09: Pratik introduces segment on UK elections

2:01: Pratik introduces segment with Alex Chan on VP odds

3:17: Pratik introduces segment on event contract regulation

5:55: Segment on UK elections begins

6:12: Anthony's background

8:17: Keir Starmer's background

10:16: Starmer's odds of becoming Prime Minister

11:01: How many seats Conservatives and Labour will win

22:04: Why Sunak and the Conservatives are unlikely to make a comeback

28:37: Why Sunak called an early election

30:54: Labour seat totals

34:03: Right-wing bias in the markets?

36:59: Discussion of class politics

39:27: Segment with Chan begins

39:46: VP odds on Tulsi Gabbard and Vivek Ramaswamy

40:48: "Juice" in sportsbooks

41:46: Regulation segment begins

42:56: Incentives in the current CFTC rulemaking

45:00: Need for a counter-lobby on event contracts

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