Call them changemakers. Call them rule breakers. We call them Redefiners. And in this provocative podcast, we explore how daring leaders from across industries and around the globe are redefining their organizations—and themselves—to create extraordinary impact in today’s rapidly changing world. In each episode, Russell Reynolds Associates Leadership Advisor Hoda Tahoun and former CEO Clarke Murphy host engaging, purposeful conversations with leaders in and out of the business world who shar ...
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John A. Paulos — Avoiding Innumeracy (EP. 219)
MP3•Episode hjem
Manage episode 423952617 series 3253011
Indhold leveret af Podcast Notes. Alt podcastindhold inklusive episoder, grafik og podcastbeskrivelser uploades og leveres direkte af Podcast Notes eller deres podcastplatformspartner. Hvis du mener, at nogen bruger dit ophavsretligt beskyttede værk uden din tilladelse, kan du følge processen beskrevet her https://da.player.fm/legal.
Infinite Loops
Read the full notes @ podcastnotes.org
Professor, Mathematician and Writer John A. Paulos joins the show to discuss math education, the power of puzzles, cognitive biases, and MUCH more!
…
continue reading
Key Takeaways
- “Uncertainty is the only certainty.” – John Paulos
- People use terms like millions, billions, and trillions as if they are the same thing; when in reality, these are vastly different amounts!
- “We live in a probabilistic world, and yet we remain deterministic thinkers.” – Jim O’Shaughnessy
- The Law of Large Numbers is a fundamental principle in probability and statistics that states that as the size of a sample increases, the average of the sample becomes closer to the expected value
- Apophenia: The phenomenon of seeing patterns where none exist as a form of cognitive bias or psychological tendency
- Humans are excellent pattern-recognition machines; but sometimes, we wrongly attribute patterns to random data that can lead us astray
- The human operating system is more driven by the emotional centers of the brain than the rational centers of the brain
- There is a tension between objective likelihood (probability) and subjective belief or reasonableness (plausibility)
- The Prisoner’s Dilemma is a scenario in game theory where two individuals acting in their self-interest end up with a worse outcome than if they had cooperated
- Cognitive foibles such as confirmation bias, the anchoring effect, and negativity bias should be taught in mathematical courses
- Dunning-Kruger Effect: The phenomenon where people with low ability at a task overestimate their ability, while those with high ability underestimate their competence
- The concept of “nudging” involves subtly influencing people’s decisions by altering the presentation of choices without restricting options or significantly changing incentives
- It is wise to develop a particular skepticism and wariness about the uncertainties of life
Read the full notes @ podcastnotes.org
Professor, Mathematician and Writer John A. Paulos joins the show to discuss math education, the power of puzzles, cognitive biases, and MUCH more!
Important Links:
Show Notes:
- Why Do People Hate Math?
- The Power of Posing Problems with Counterintuitive or Shocking Results
- Using Everyday Examples to Understand Math Concepts
- Systems Designed to Take Advantage of Innumeracy
- People’s Ignorance of Randomness and Random Samples
- The Strange Power of Anchoring Bias
- Tradeoffs between Probability and Plausibility
- The Prisoner’s Dilemma & Math Anxiety
- Improving the Monty Hall Problem
- Designing an Ideal Intro Math Course
- The Big Brother Aspect of Nudging
- John as Emperor of the World
- MORE!
Books Mentioned:
- Innumeracy - Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences; by J.A. Paulos
- A Mathematician Plays the Stock Market; by J.A. Paulos
- A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper; by J.A. Paulos
- Statistics; by D.A. Freedman, R. Pisani, and R.A. Purves
- Thinking Fast and Slow; by Daniel Kahneman
34 episoder
MP3•Episode hjem
Manage episode 423952617 series 3253011
Indhold leveret af Podcast Notes. Alt podcastindhold inklusive episoder, grafik og podcastbeskrivelser uploades og leveres direkte af Podcast Notes eller deres podcastplatformspartner. Hvis du mener, at nogen bruger dit ophavsretligt beskyttede værk uden din tilladelse, kan du følge processen beskrevet her https://da.player.fm/legal.
Infinite Loops
Read the full notes @ podcastnotes.org
Professor, Mathematician and Writer John A. Paulos joins the show to discuss math education, the power of puzzles, cognitive biases, and MUCH more!
…
continue reading
Key Takeaways
- “Uncertainty is the only certainty.” – John Paulos
- People use terms like millions, billions, and trillions as if they are the same thing; when in reality, these are vastly different amounts!
- “We live in a probabilistic world, and yet we remain deterministic thinkers.” – Jim O’Shaughnessy
- The Law of Large Numbers is a fundamental principle in probability and statistics that states that as the size of a sample increases, the average of the sample becomes closer to the expected value
- Apophenia: The phenomenon of seeing patterns where none exist as a form of cognitive bias or psychological tendency
- Humans are excellent pattern-recognition machines; but sometimes, we wrongly attribute patterns to random data that can lead us astray
- The human operating system is more driven by the emotional centers of the brain than the rational centers of the brain
- There is a tension between objective likelihood (probability) and subjective belief or reasonableness (plausibility)
- The Prisoner’s Dilemma is a scenario in game theory where two individuals acting in their self-interest end up with a worse outcome than if they had cooperated
- Cognitive foibles such as confirmation bias, the anchoring effect, and negativity bias should be taught in mathematical courses
- Dunning-Kruger Effect: The phenomenon where people with low ability at a task overestimate their ability, while those with high ability underestimate their competence
- The concept of “nudging” involves subtly influencing people’s decisions by altering the presentation of choices without restricting options or significantly changing incentives
- It is wise to develop a particular skepticism and wariness about the uncertainties of life
Read the full notes @ podcastnotes.org
Professor, Mathematician and Writer John A. Paulos joins the show to discuss math education, the power of puzzles, cognitive biases, and MUCH more!
Important Links:
Show Notes:
- Why Do People Hate Math?
- The Power of Posing Problems with Counterintuitive or Shocking Results
- Using Everyday Examples to Understand Math Concepts
- Systems Designed to Take Advantage of Innumeracy
- People’s Ignorance of Randomness and Random Samples
- The Strange Power of Anchoring Bias
- Tradeoffs between Probability and Plausibility
- The Prisoner’s Dilemma & Math Anxiety
- Improving the Monty Hall Problem
- Designing an Ideal Intro Math Course
- The Big Brother Aspect of Nudging
- John as Emperor of the World
- MORE!
Books Mentioned:
- Innumeracy - Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences; by J.A. Paulos
- A Mathematician Plays the Stock Market; by J.A. Paulos
- A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper; by J.A. Paulos
- Statistics; by D.A. Freedman, R. Pisani, and R.A. Purves
- Thinking Fast and Slow; by Daniel Kahneman
34 episoder
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