016 | 特朗普“封口费”刑事案被判有罪，然后呢？Trump Found Guilty in “Hush Money” Trial, What Next?

美轮美换 The American Roulette

【聊了什么】

经过两天的审议，纽约法院陪审团裁定特朗普在“封口费”一案中34项伪造商业记录罪名全部成立。 由此，特朗普成为美国历史上第一位被刑事定罪的前总统。这一审议结果不仅震惊了美国政坛，也对特朗普未来的政治生涯投下一层不确定的阴影。

结果公布当天，我们紧急录制了本期节目，回顾整个案件的发展过程，并深入分析了不同政治团体的反应、公众舆论以及特朗普被定罪的法律和社会影响。

【支持我们】

如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://americanroulette.ghost.io/paid-membership/

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[e-mail]

【时间轴】

01:08 陪审团9小时审议之后迅速判决意味着什么

08:03 “封口费”案回顾

13:30 关键证人盘点

22:30 有罪判决对选情的影响

32:04 右翼对判决的反应

35:28 负面党派情绪

38:54 民主党的应对策略

45:10 特朗普真的会入狱吗？

49:51 特朗普面临的其它三项刑事诉讼

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾： Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

曹起曈：美国政治经济学PhD，政治行为研究者

小华：媒体人，美政观察者

【 What We Talked About】

After two days of deliberation, a New York court jury found Donald Trump guilty on all 34 counts of falsifying business records in the "hush money" case. This made Trump the first former U.S. president in history to be convicted of felony crimes. The verdict not only shocked the American political scene but also cast a shadow of uncertainty over Trump's future political career.

On the day the verdict was announced, we recorded this emergency episode to review the development of the case and to analyze the reactions from different political groups, public opinion, and the legal and social implications of the verdict.

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [e-mail]

【Timeline】

01:08 What does it mean for the jury to reach a verdict after mere 9 hours?

08:03 Review of the “hush money” trial

13:30 Review of key witnesses and testimonies

22:30 How does the guilty verdict affect the presidential election

32:04 Reactions from the right

35:28 How the verdict deepens partisanship

38:54 Strategic repsonses from Democrats

45:10 Will Trump really go to prison?

49:51 The other three criminal lawsuits Trump is facing

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

Our Hosts and Guests: Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher

小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer

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