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Bear Market Rally vs New Bull Market with Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research

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Manage episode 362050753 series 3373282
Indhold leveret af Grizzle. Alt podcastindhold inklusive episoder, grafik og podcastbeskrivelser uploades og leveres direkte af Grizzle eller deres podcastplatformspartner. Hvis du mener, at nogen bruger dit ophavsretligt beskyttede værk uden din tilladelse, kan du følge processen beskrevet her https://da.player.fm/legal.

In this week’s podcast Grizzle was joined by Warren Pies, the Co-founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research, to help us make sense of both the equity and commodity markets, and why he believes we are in the midst of a bear market rally. Key topics discussed:

Why The Market Hasn't Bottomed

  • Earnings Still Falling
  • Yield Curve Still Inverted
  • Fed Still Hiking
  • Lack of Market Breadth

Why Pies Remains Long Oil

  • Inventory Draws Are Improving
  • OPEC Cuts Take Effect in May
  • China Demand Picking Up
  • US Recession Won’t Be Drastic

Will The Fed Pause?

  • Historically Fed Doesn’t Pause When Markets Rally
  • 5-10% Correction Comes at End of Hike Cycle
  • What Happens in June Will Be Dictated By Market Performance
  • If CPI Remains Sticky A Pause From The Fed Will Be Harder

3Fourteen Research: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/WarrenPies / https://twitter.com/3F_Research

Grizzle Research & Quant Substack: https://grizzleresearch.substack.com

Follow Grizzle on Twitter: @grizzlemedia @margot_rubin @thomasg_grizzle @scottw_grizzle

  continue reading

92 episoder

Artwork
iconDel
 
Manage episode 362050753 series 3373282
Indhold leveret af Grizzle. Alt podcastindhold inklusive episoder, grafik og podcastbeskrivelser uploades og leveres direkte af Grizzle eller deres podcastplatformspartner. Hvis du mener, at nogen bruger dit ophavsretligt beskyttede værk uden din tilladelse, kan du følge processen beskrevet her https://da.player.fm/legal.

In this week’s podcast Grizzle was joined by Warren Pies, the Co-founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research, to help us make sense of both the equity and commodity markets, and why he believes we are in the midst of a bear market rally. Key topics discussed:

Why The Market Hasn't Bottomed

  • Earnings Still Falling
  • Yield Curve Still Inverted
  • Fed Still Hiking
  • Lack of Market Breadth

Why Pies Remains Long Oil

  • Inventory Draws Are Improving
  • OPEC Cuts Take Effect in May
  • China Demand Picking Up
  • US Recession Won’t Be Drastic

Will The Fed Pause?

  • Historically Fed Doesn’t Pause When Markets Rally
  • 5-10% Correction Comes at End of Hike Cycle
  • What Happens in June Will Be Dictated By Market Performance
  • If CPI Remains Sticky A Pause From The Fed Will Be Harder

3Fourteen Research: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/WarrenPies / https://twitter.com/3F_Research

Grizzle Research & Quant Substack: https://grizzleresearch.substack.com

Follow Grizzle on Twitter: @grizzlemedia @margot_rubin @thomasg_grizzle @scottw_grizzle

  continue reading

92 episoder

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