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The Man Who Bet His House on a Pop Song - A Eurovision Tale

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Manage episode 363109674 series 2564186
Indhold leveret af Pushkin Industries. Alt podcastindhold inklusive episoder, grafik og podcastbeskrivelser uploades og leveres direkte af Pushkin Industries eller deres podcastplatformspartner. Hvis du mener, at nogen bruger dit ophavsretligt beskyttede værk uden din tilladelse, kan du følge processen beskrevet her https://da.player.fm/legal.

You can gamble on horses or on the turn of a card - but Daniel Gould made a living betting on the outcome of the annual Eurovision Song Contest. Daniel made a profit because he studied the voting history of the competition, as well as the cultural and geo-political factors that predict which songs will triumph and which will score "nil point".

In 2018, Daniel was so sure of his system of reducing the risk that he took out a loan on his home and bet it on Israel's song to win... only to see the entry from Cyprus suddenly rocketing up the leader board. Was Daniel about to lose everything?

For a full list of sources used in this episode visit Tim Harford.com

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

  continue reading

148 episoder

Artwork
iconDel
 
Manage episode 363109674 series 2564186
Indhold leveret af Pushkin Industries. Alt podcastindhold inklusive episoder, grafik og podcastbeskrivelser uploades og leveres direkte af Pushkin Industries eller deres podcastplatformspartner. Hvis du mener, at nogen bruger dit ophavsretligt beskyttede værk uden din tilladelse, kan du følge processen beskrevet her https://da.player.fm/legal.

You can gamble on horses or on the turn of a card - but Daniel Gould made a living betting on the outcome of the annual Eurovision Song Contest. Daniel made a profit because he studied the voting history of the competition, as well as the cultural and geo-political factors that predict which songs will triumph and which will score "nil point".

In 2018, Daniel was so sure of his system of reducing the risk that he took out a loan on his home and bet it on Israel's song to win... only to see the entry from Cyprus suddenly rocketing up the leader board. Was Daniel about to lose everything?

For a full list of sources used in this episode visit Tim Harford.com

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

  continue reading

148 episoder

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